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Working Paper No. 782
December 12, 2013
Feasible Estimation of Linear Models with N-fixed Effects
AbstractIn this paper an alternative approach for the estimation of higher-order linear fixed-effects models is described. The strategy relies on the transformation of the data prior to calculating estimations of the model. While the approach is computationally intensive, the hardware requirements for the estimation process are minimal, allowing for the estimation of models with more […]
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Working Paper No. 781
December 10, 2013
A Stock-flow Approach to a General Theory of Pricing
AbstractThe paper seeks to lay out a stock-flow-based theoretical framework that provides a foundation for a general theory of pricing. Contemporary marginalist economics is usually based on the assumption that prices are set in line with the value placed on goods by consumers. It does not take into account expectations, or the fact that real […]
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Policy Notes No. 10
December 03, 2013
Η συνεχιζόμενη καταλληλότητα των κρατικών ομολόγων με την κάλυψη φόρων (tax-backed bonds) για την ευρωζώνη
AbstractΣε ένα σημείωμα πολιτικής που δημοσιεύθηκε πέρυσι από το Levy Institute, ο Philip Pilkington και ο Warren Mosler υποστήριξαν ότι η κρίση χρέους στην ευρωζώνη θα μπορούσε να λυθεί από τις εθνικές κυβερνήσεις χωρίς τη βοήθεια της Ευρωπαϊκής Κεντρικής Τράπεζας (ΕΚΤ), αλλά και χωρίς έξοδο από τη νομισματική ένωση, μέσω της έκδοσης μιας προτεινόμενης χρηματοοικονομικής […]
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Policy Notes No. 10
December 03, 2013
The Continued Relevance of Tax-backed Bonds in a Post-OMT Eurozone
AbstractIn a policy note published last year by the Levy Institute, Philip Pilkington and Warren Mosler argued that the eurozone sovereign debt crisis could be solved by national governments without the assistance of the European Central Bank (ECB) and without their leaving the currency union, through the issuance of a proposed financial innovation called “tax-backed […]
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Working Paper No. 780
November 21, 2013
Lost at Sea
AbstractThe euro crisis remains unresolved even as financial markets may seem calm for now. The current euro regime is inherently flawed, and recent reforms have failed to turn this dysfunctional regime into a viable one. Our investigation is informed by the “cartalist” critique of traditional “optimum currency area” theory (Goodhart 1998). Various proposals to rescue […]
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Working Paper No. 779
November 15, 2013
Hierarchy of Ideals in Market Interactions
AbstractThis paper argues that a hierarchy of ideals exists in market interactions that sets the benchmark on the norm of fairness associated with these interactions, thus affecting pricing decisions associated with market exchange. As norms emerge, an ideal determines the criteria of optimal behavior and serves as a basis for market exchange. Norms homogenize the […]
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Working Paper No. 778
November 01, 2013
Modern Money Theory 101
AbstractOne of the main contributions of Modern Money Theory (MMT) has been to explain why monetarily sovereign governments have a very flexible policy space that is unencumbered by hard financial constraints. Through a detailed analysis of the institutions and practices surrounding the fiscal and monetary operations of the treasury and central bank of many nations, […]
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Strategic Analysis
October 16, 2013
Rescuing the Recovery: Prospects and Policies for the United States
AbstractIf the Congressional Budget Office’s recent projections of government revenues and outlays come to pass, the United States will not grow fast enough to bring down the unemployment rate between now and 2016. The public sector deficit will decline from present levels, endangering the sustainability of the recovery. But as this new Strategic Analysis shows, […]
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Strategic Analysis
October 16, 2013
Η εδραίωση της ανάκαμψης: Προοπτικές και πολιτικές για τις Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες
AbstractΣτην περίπτωση που επαληθευτούν οι προβλέψεις του Γραφείο Προϋπολογισμού του Κογκρέσου για τα κρατικά έσοδα και τις δαπάνες, η οικονομία των Ηνωμένων Πολιτειών δεν θα μπορέσει να αναπτυχθεί αρκετά γρήγορα προκειμένου να μειωθεί το ποσοστό της ανεργίας από σήμερα έως το 2016. Το έλλειμμα θα μειωθεί από τα σημερινά του επίπεδα, θέτοντας σε κίνδυνο τη […]
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Policy Notes No. 9
October 10, 2013
A New “Lehman Moment,” or Something Worse?
AbstractThe United States entered the second week of a government shutdown on Monday, with no end to the deadlock in sight. The cost to the government of a similar shutdown in 1995–96 amounted to $2.1 billion in today’s dollars. However, the cost and broader consequences of today’s shutdown are not yet clear—especially since the US […]
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Working Paper No. 777
October 07, 2013
A Simple Model of Income, Aggregate Demand, and the Process of Credit Creation by Private Banks
AbstractThis paper presents a small macroeconomic model describing the main mechanisms of the process of credit creation by the private banking system. The model is composed of a core unit—where the dynamics of income, credit, and aggregate demand are determined—and a set of sectoral accounts that ensure its stock-flow consistency. In order to grasp the […]
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Working Paper No. 776
September 30, 2013
Fiscal Policy and Rebalancing in the Euro Area
AbstractThe German debt brake is often regarded as a great success story, and has therefore served as a role model for the Euro area and its fiscal compact. In this paper we fundamentally criticize the debt brake. We show that (1) it suffers from serious shortcomings, and its success is far from certain even from […]
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Working Paper No. 776
September 30, 2013
Δημοσιονομική πολιτική και επανεξισορρόπηση στην ευρωζώνη
AbstractΤο «φρένο χρέους» στη Γερμανία θεωρείται επιτυχημένη πολιτική και ως εκ τούτου λειτουργεί ως πρότυπο για τη ζώνη του ευρώ και το λεγόμενο «δημοσιονομικό σύμφωνο». Στην παρούσα εργασία ασκούμε έντονη κριτική στο «φρένο χρέους». Πρώτον, δείχνουμε ότι η πρόταση πάσχει από σοβαρές αδυναμίες και πώς η επιτυχία της συγκεκριμένης πολιτικής δεν είναι καθόλου βέβαιη ακόμη […]
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Working Paper No. 775
September 26, 2013
Wage and Profit-led Growth
AbstractWe argue that a fundamental difference between Post-Keynesian approaches to economic growth lies in their treatment of investment. Kaleckian-Robinsonian models postulate an investment function dependent on the accelerator and profitability. Some of these models rely on the importance of profitability, captured by the profit share, to make the case for profit-led growth. For their part, […]
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One-Pager No. 42
September 16, 2013
Exit Keynes the Friedmanite, Enter Minsky’s Keynes
AbstractPerhaps the most indictable offense that mainstream economists committed, from 1988 through 2008, was to retrace Keynes’s path of discovery from 1924 (A Tract on Monetary Reform) through 1936 (The General Theory). Wholesale deregulation of finance and categorical confidence in a reductionist role for central banks came into being as the conventional wisdom embraced the […]
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One-Pager No. 42
September 16, 2013
Έξω ο Κέυνς ο φριντμανικός, μέσα ο Κέυνς του Μίνσκι
AbstractΊσως το πιο σοβαρό και καταδικάσιμο παράπτωμα που διέπραξαν οι καθεστωτικοί οικονομολόγοι την περίοδο 1988-2008 ήταν να επανεξετάσουν, βήμα προς βήμα, την πορεία του Keynes από το 1924 μέχρι το 1936. Η ολική απορρύθμιση του χρηματοπιστωτικού συστήματος και η άκρατη εμπιστοσύνη στον περιοριστικό ρόλο των κεντρικών τραπεζών προέκυψαν όταν η συμβατική σοφία αγκάλιασε την άποψη […]
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Working Paper No. 774
September 12, 2013
Economic Crises and the Added Worker Effect in the Turkish Labor Market
AbstractTurkish economic growth has been characterized by periodic crises since financial liberalization reforms were enacted in the early 1990s. Given the phenomenally low female labor force participation rate in Turkey (one of the lowest in the world) and the limited scope of the country’s unemployment insurance scheme, there appears to be ample room for a […]
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One-Pager No. 40
September 04, 2013
Η Ομοσπονδιακή Τράπεζα των ΗΠΑ νεκρανάστησε την Wall Street
AbstractΗ Nicola Matthews, από το Πανεπιστημίο του Μιζούρι στο Κάνσας Σίτι, παρουσιάζει τα ευρήματα της έρευνάς της σχετικά με τις πρακτικές δανεισμού της Ομοσπονδιακής Τράπεζας των ΗΠΑ (Fed) μετά το ξέσπασμα της παγκόσμιας χρηματοοικονομικής κρίσης του 2008. Εφαρμόζοντας τις αρχές του Walter Bagehot, ανακαλύπτει ότι η Fed απομακρύνθηκε από την παραδοσιακή λειτουργία της κεντρικής τράπεζας […]
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One-Pager No. 40
September 04, 2013
The Fed Rates that Resuscitated Wall Street
AbstractNicola Matthews, University of Missouri–Kansas City, presents the main findings of her research on the Fed’s lending practices following the global financial crisis of 2008. Applying Walter Bagehot’s principles, she finds that the Fed departed from the traditional lender-of-last-resort function of a central bank by lending to insolvent banks without good collateral–and below penalty rates. […]
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Working Paper No. 773
August 29, 2013
Keynes’s Employment Function and the Gratuitous Phillips Curve Disaster
AbstractKeynes had many plausible things to say about unemployment and its causes. His “mercurial mind,” though, relied on intuition, which means that he could not strictly prove his hypotheses. This explains why Keynes’s ideas immediately invited bastardizations. One of them, the Phillips curve synthesis, turned out to be fatal. This paper identifies Keynes’s undifferentiated employment […]
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Working Paper No. 772
August 29, 2013
Ο επαναπροσανατολισμός της δημοσιονομικής πολιτικής
AbstractΣτην παρούσα εργασία επιχειρείται η κριτική της δημοσιονομικής πολιτικής όπως εμφανίζεται στη θεωρία και εφαρμόζεται στην πράξη. Συγκεκριμένα, εξετάζονται δύο μέθοδοι σταθεροποίησης από την πλευρά της ζήτησης: η συμβατική δαπάνη για την τόνωση της ζήτησης (pump priming) και ο νέος προορισμός της αποτελεσματικότητας της δημοσιονομικής πολιτικής που εντοπίζεται σήμερα στη βιβλιογραφία γύρω από τη θεωρία […]
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Working Paper No. 772
August 29, 2013
Reorienting Fiscal Policy
AbstractThe present paper offers a fundamental critique of fiscal policy as it is understood in theory and exercised in practice. Two specific demand-side stabilization methods are examined here: conventional pump priming and the new designation of fiscal policy effectiveness found in the New Consensus literature. A theoretical critique of their respective transmission mechanisms reveals that […]
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Policy Notes No. 8
August 01, 2013
«Ασυνήθιστες και επείγουσες συνθήκες»: Τρόποι με τους οποίους μπορεί η Fed να τονώσει την πραγματική οικονομία
AbstractΑν και δεν είναι ευρέως κατανοητό, η Ομοσπονδιακή Τράπεζα των ΗΠΑ (Fed) διαθέτει τεράστια ανεκμετάλλευτη δύναμη για να τονώσει άμεσα την οικονομία ή να επηρεάσει τις ροές του δανεισμού και δαπανών που δημιουργούν θέσεις εργασίας. Αν λειτουργήσει με αυτό τον τρόπο, θα μπορούσε να εκπληρώσει τη συχνά παραμελημένη «διπλή εντολή» με την οποία είναι εξουσιοδοτημένη: […]
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Policy Notes No. 8
August 01, 2013
“Unusual and Exigent”: How the Fed Can Jump-start the Real Economy
AbstractThough it is not widely understood, the Federal Reserve has enormous untapped power to directly stimulate or influence the flows of lending and spending that generate jobs. Doing so would fulfill the Fed’s often neglected “dual mandate”: to strive for maximum employment as well as stable money. Fed technocrats often plead that legal or technical […]
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