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1681 publications found
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Working Paper No. 329
May 01, 2001
Reporting of Two or More Races in the 1999 American Community Survey
AbstractThis study presents data on race, collected at selected sites throughout the country for the 1999 American Community Survey (ACS). In particular, the distribution of the population by race and Hispanic or Latino origin is examined, as are the reporting of multiple races, number of races, and major race combinations and the extent to which […]
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Policy Notes No. 4
April 01, 2001
Put Your Chips on 35
AbstractAccording to Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, we live in a time “profoundly different from the typical postwar business cycle.” Our experiences have “defied conventional wisdom” and mark ”veritable shifts in the tectonic plates of technology.” Evidently, the law of supply and demand has been repealed. This is the theme of “Put your chips on […]
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Working Paper No. 327
March 01, 2001
Part-year Operation in 19th Century American Manufacturing
AbstractUsing unpublished data contained in samples from the manuscripts of the 1870 and 1880 censuses of manufactures—the earliest comprehensive estimates available—this study examines the extent and correlates of part-year manufacturing during the late 19th century. While the typical manufacturing plant operated full-time, part-year operation was not uncommon; its likelihood of this varied across industries and […]
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Working Paper No. 326
March 01, 2001
Making EMU Work
AbstractThis paper investigates the lessons learned from Europe’s convergence process of the 1990s. The paper challenges the conventional focus on labour market institutions and “structural rigidities” as the root cause of Europe’s poor employment record. Instead, it is argued that macroeconomic demand management, particularly monetary policy, played the key role. Concentrating on Germany, the analysis […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 63
March 01, 2001
The Future of the Euro
AbstractThis brief provides a detailed description of the Stability and Growth Pact, an agreement entered into by the member states of the European Union that has far-reaching implications for the long-run value of the euro, and therefore, on the real economy in terms of output growth and employment. Yet despite the fact that the pact […]
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Working Paper No. 325
March 01, 2001
Endogenous Money in a Coherent Stock-flow Framework
AbstractA method advocated by Wynne Godley to model monetary macroeconomics, is presented. The method, based on a transactions matrix, essentially makes sure that every flow goes somewhere and comes from somewhere, so that there are no black holes. The method is put to use for several purposes: to illustrate the monetary circuit of credit money; […]
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Working Paper No. 324
March 01, 2001
The Causes of Euro Instability
AbstractThis paper examines the causes of the general decline in the value of the euro. First, it assesses the various explanations proffered in existing literature, and then it offers a more satisfactory one. The argument prevalent in the literature that the decline in value of the euro is due to “US strength” rather than to […]
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Working Paper No. 323
March 01, 2001
Easy Money through the Back Door
AbstractThis paper assesses the performance of the European Central Bank (ECB) over the first two years of Europe’s new policy regime. The verdict is that the ECB was not actually in charge, as the markets took over and imposed easy money on the euro zone. It is argued that the causes for the ECB’s loss […]
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Working Paper No. 322
March 01, 2001
Will the Euro Bring Economic Crisis to Europe?
AbstractIt has been argued that the eurozone will face considerable economic difficulties. These will take a number of forms, two of which could qualify as “crises.” First, the euro was launched at a time when unemployment levels were high (10 percent of the workforce) and disparities in the experience of unemployment and standards of living […]
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Policy Notes No. 3
March 01, 2001
Financing Health Care
AbstractThe problem is that the payers of health care—government and employers alike—are in open revolt against costs they never anticipated would become so high. Payers succeeded for a time in limiting increases to rises in the general price level. But it is one thing to remedy the most glaring inefficiencies in the system—to pick, as […]
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Policy Notes No. 2
February 01, 2001
Fiscal Policy for the Coming Recession
AbstractGrowing government surpluses, a ballooning trade deficit, and the resulting growth in private sector debt have placed the United States’ economy in a precarious position. Papadimitriou and Wray agree with President Bush that fiscal stimulus is necessary to reinvigorate the economy; in the current economic environment, monetary policy will not work. However, a tax cut […]
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Book Series
February 01, 2001
Corporate Governance and Sustainable Prosperity
AbstractHow can we explain the persistent worsening of the income distribution in the United States in the 1980s and 1990s? What are the prospects for the reemergence of sustainable prosperity in the American economy over the next generation? In addressing these issues, this book focuses on the microeconomics of corporate investment behavior, especially as reflected […]
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Policy Notes No. 1
January 01, 2001
Fiscal Policy to the Rescue
AbstractThe United States’ economic expansion of the past eight years has been fueled by a rise in private sector indebtedness. In 1997 the private sector spending exceeded income for the first time since 1952, and since then the gap between the two has risen markedly. The situation closely mirrors that experienced in the United Kingdom […]
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Working Paper No. 321
January 01, 2001
Testing Profit Rate Equalization in the US Manufacturing Sector
AbstractLong-run differentials in interindustrial profitability are relevant for several areas of theoretical and applied economics because they characterize the overall nature of competition in a capitalist economy. This paper argues that the existing empirical models of competition in the industrial organization literature suffer from serious flaws. An alternative framework, based on recent advances in the […]
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Working Paper No. 320
January 01, 2001
“Race or People”
AbstractIn 1898, the United States Bureau of Immigration initiated a classification of immigrants into some 40 categories of "race or people." Nearly all the categories covered Europeans. In 1909 an effort was made to extend this system of classification to the US Census, and the relevant measure passed in the Senate. From the outset, organizations […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 62
December 10, 2000
Is There a Skills Crisis?
AbstractDespite seven years of economic growth a large gap exists in the wages earned by workers at the top of the earnings scale and those at the bottom. The leading explanation for this growth in wage inequality continues to be the skills-mismatch theory. This theory in part posits that gains in technology have resulted in […]
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Working Paper No. 319
December 01, 2000
Compensatory Inter Vivos Gifts
AbstractEmpirical studies of intergenerational transfers usually find that bequests are equally divided among heirs while inter vivos gifts tend to be compensatory. Using the 1992 and 1994 waves of the Health and Retirement Study, we find that only 4 percent of parents who give divide their gifts equally among their children. Estimating probit models using […]
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Working Paper No. 318
December 01, 2000
Origins of the GATT
AbstractFiftieth-anniversary explanations for the efficacy of the GATT imply that the institution’s longevity is testimony to the free trade principles upon which it is based. In this light, the predominantly American architects of the system figure as free trade visionaries who benevolently imposed postwar institutions of international cooperation on their war-torn allies. This paper takes […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 61
November 09, 2000
Whither the Welfare State?
AbstractThe idea that saving is the force driving private investment and economic growth has become ever more entrenched in mainstream economic thought as well as in the minds of policymakers and the general public. Even though the empirical evidence that increased household saving will directly stimulate private investment and economic growth is scant, the idea […]
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Working Paper No. 317
November 01, 2000
Productivity in Manufacturing and the Length of the Working Day
AbstractData from the manuscript census of manufacturing are used to estimate the effects of the length of the working day on output and wages. We find that the elasticity of output with respect to daily hours worked was positive but less than one—implying diminishing returns to increases in working hours. When the annual number of […]
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Working Paper No. 316
November 01, 2000
Harrod versus Thirlwall
AbstractThis paper contrasts the different approaches to export-led growth used by Harrod and Thirlwall. It argues that, unlike Thirlwall’s model, Harrod emphasized the importance of both demand- and supply-sides in his analysis of growth. The fundamental difference between the two authors lies in their differing characterizations of the long run. While both authors assume unemployment, […]
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Working Paper No. 315
October 01, 2000
Crowding In or Crowding Out?
AbstractThis paper investigates the effects of budget deficits within a classical-Harrodian framework in a closed economy. In this framework, growth and cycles are endogenous, underutilized capacity is a recurrent phenomenon, capacity utilization fluctuates around the normal level in the long run, and unemployment is persistent. Give the normal rate of profit, the key determinant of […]
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Working Paper No. 314
September 01, 2000
Asset Ownership across Generations
AbstractThis paper examines cross-generational connections in asset ownership. It begins by presenting a theoretical framework that develops the distinction between the intergenerational transfer of knowledge about financial assets and the direct transfer of dollars from parents to children. Its analysis of data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) reveals intergenerational correlations in asset […]
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Working Paper No. 313
September 01, 2000
CRA Grade Inflation
AbstractCommunity Reinvestment Act of 1977 (CRA) ratings and performance evaluations are the only bank and thrift exam findings disclosed by financial institution regulators. Inflation of CRA ratings has been alleged by community activists for two decades, but there has been no quantification or empirical investigation of grade inflation. Using a unique grade inflation methodology on […]
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